September Concurrency NumbersOctober 4,2007 15:11 - Rollie
It's that time of the month again and we have calculated the September concurrency numbers provided by the CensusPlus
As expected, the downward trend of concurrent players continued in September, dropping the average number of players online even closer to pre-Burning Crusade levels.
If this current rate of decline continues, October will show even fewer concurrent players than the month prior to Burning Crusade's release. If numbers do drop below that threshold, it will be the first time in WoW's history that a marked decline has eaten into the 'original' growth of players prior to the Burning Crusade spike.
The question becomes, how much farther will the numbers slide before Wrath of the Lich King becomes available? I do not anticipate that WotLK will be out before Summer '08, and it could be farther out than that. How far will WoW's numbers slide before then?
As for 2.3, I do not think the patch will bring a large number of players back and if anything will likely only keep numbers from declining further in the month it is released.
Only the release of Wrath of the Lich King will have any serious effect on the current downward trend of players, and with other games seemingly on the horizon, I have to wonder if WoW's concurrent player base has peaked and will now assume the standard rise and fall with expansions as is normally the case for MMO's.